Sanders Ahead in Virginia and Colorado

Authors: Sean McElwee, Executive Director of Data for Progress, Jason Ganz, CTO of Data for Progress,

From 2/23 to 2/25, Data for Progress Data for Progress surveyed 499 likely voters in Virginia and 471 likely voters in Colorado via text to web. Likely voters were identified from the voter file and weighted to a likely electorate. Our margin of error is +/- 4.5 percent for VA and +/- 4.7 percent for CO.  

Topline Results:

VA
Sanders - 28
Biden - 19 
Warren - 17
Bloomberg - 17
Buttigieg - 12
Klobuchar - 5

CO
Sanders - 34
Warren - 20
Buttigieg - 14
Bloomberg - 14
Biden - 10
Klobuchar - 6

After his victory in the Nevada caucuses, Sanders is leading in Colorado and Virginia. Sanders has a 14 point lead over his next closest rival, Elizabeth Warren in Colorado and a 9 point lead over his next closest rival, Biden in Virginia. In both of these states, several candidates are hovering right around the 15 point threshold for delegate allocation with significant effects on overall delegate counts depending on how many candidates hit this threshold.

Sanders continues to perform extremely strongly with voters under 45, with a majority of these younger voters in each state supporting him. His vote lead is substantially larger in both states among voters with their minds made up and voters who are extremely enthusiastic about their vote choice.

Both states vote next Tuesday, March 3rd.