McAuliffe Slated to Win in Virginia

By Johannes Fischer, Brian Burton, and Colin McAuliffe

In October, Data for Progress asked 1,589 likely Virginia voters who they plan to support for Governor, Lieutenant Governor, and State House Representative.

Today, we are releasing our polling showing Democrat Terry McAuliffe leading the Gubernatorial race with a +5-point margin, with 50 percent of voters supporting his candidacy. Democrat Hala Ayala also leads in the race for Lieutenant Governor with 47 percent to Winsome Sears’ 42 percent. In State House races, voters favor the Democratic candidates by a +4-point margin.

Additionally, our polling finds that Virginia voters have much higher favorability ratings of both McAuliffe and Ayala than their Republican counterparts. 

Methodology

From October 4 to 15, 2021, Data for Progress conducted a survey of 1,589 likely voters in Virginia using SMS, mail, and web panel respondents. The sample was weighted to be representative of likely voters by age, gender, education, race, geography, and voting history. The survey was conducted in English. The margin of error is ±2 percentage points.

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