Voters Support Proposed Ceasefire Deal to End Fighting in Gaza
A new survey from Data for Progress, fielded from June 5-6, finds that a majority of U.S. likely voters support the proposed ceasefire deal that could end fighting between Israel and Hamas in Gaza. Additionally, likely voters support withdrawing military aid to Israel if the country does not accept the proposed ceasefire deal, with a majority of voters saying that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is at least a “minor” obstacle to achieving peace and a plurality stating that Israel is committing war crimes in Gaza.
When given a description of the various elements of the proposed ceasefire deal, 64% of likely voters say they support the proposal, including 86% of Democrats, 64% of Independents, and 62% of swing voters.
Additionally, the survey finds majority support for withdrawing military aid from Israel if it rejects the current ceasefire proposal. This support includes 70% of Democrats, 51% of Independents, and 53% of swing voters.
The survey asked voters who they believe is primarily responsible for the lack of a permanent ceasefire in the ongoing conflict. A plurality of voters, 38%, say that both Hamas and Netanyahu are equally responsible for the lack of a ceasefire, followed by 36% who say Hamas alone and 13% who say Netanyahu alone.
Additionally, 65% of voters say that Netanyahu is at least a “minor” obstacle to achieving peace between Israel and Palestine.
A plurality of voters (45%) believe that Israel is committing war crimes against Palestinian civilians, including 64% of Democrats. A majority of Democrats (56%) also believe that Israel is committing genocide against Palestinian civilians, although likely voters overall are split.
Voters are split on whom they trust more — Joe Biden or Donald Trump — to help secure a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas, with Biden holding a slim, +1-point trust advantage on the issue. Notably, Biden’s trust advantage improves to +7 points among swing voters. However, Biden holds a -17-point approval rating on his handling of the Israel-Palestine conflict overall.
Survey Methodology
From June 5 to 6, 2024, Data for Progress conducted a survey of 1,238 U.S. likely voters nationally using web panel respondents. The sample was weighted to be representative of likely voters by age, gender, education, race, geography, and 2020 recalled vote. The survey was conducted in English. The margin of error associated with the sample size is ±3 percentage points. Results for subgroups of the sample are subject to increased margins of error. Partisanship reflectedin tabulations is based on self-identified party affiliation, not partisan registration. For more information please visit dataforprogress.org/our-methodology.