Majority of Voters Approve of Trump’s Guilty Verdict

By Rob Todaro

On Thursday, May 30, 2024, a New York jury convicted former President Donald Trump on 34 felony counts of falsifying business records to cover up a hush money payment to adult film star Stormy Daniels. Specifically, the jury found Trump guilty of faking records to conceal a $130,000 payment that was made to silence Daniels from speaking about a sexual encounter she claims she had with Trump.

New Data for Progress polling, fielded after the guilty verdict was announced, finds that a majority of voters (56%), including 60% of swing voters, approve the jury finding Trump guilty on all 34 counts. Data for Progress uses its own methodology to identify swing voters, which examines poll respondents’ cumulative pattern of responses to various questions, including their 2020 vote recall and 2024 vote choice, their favorability towards Biden and Trump, and whether they say they’re considering more than one option in the 2024 presidential election.

Notably, as of the time this poll was fielded between May 31 and June 1, only 37% of swing voters said they had heard, seen, or read “a lot” about Donald Trump being convicted of 34 felony charges, compared with 61% of likely voters overall.

 
 

When asked if they think the New York trial of Trump was fair or rigged, a majority of voters (53%), including 52% of swing voters, say the trial was fair, while 39% say it was rigged.

 
 

These findings indicate that a majority of voters, including the swing voters who could decide the outcome of the 2024 election, approve of the guilty verdict against Trump and think the New York trial was fair.


Rob Todaro (@robtodaro) is the Communications Director at Data for Progress.