Memo: The Democratic Party Holds A Lead In Key States
By Ethan Winter
Executive Summary
Strong pulling numbers for Democrats in the critical Senate battleground states of Arizona, North Carolina, Maine, and Iowa suggest that Democrats are well positioned to win control of the Senate.
In Arizona, Democrat Mark Kelly is leading Republican Senator Martha McSally by a 10 percentage point margin.
In North Carolina, Democrat Cal Cunningham holds an eight percentage points lead over Republican Senator Thom Thillis.
In Maine, Republican Susan Collins trails Democrat Sara Gideon by three percentage points.
In Iowa, Democratic Theresa Greenfield is up two percentage points over Republican Senator Joni Ernst.
In Arizona, North Carolina, and Maine, former Vice President Joe Biden is ahead of President Donald Trump by three percentage points, four percentage points, and 10 percentage points. Trump leads Biden by one percentage point in Iowa.
Democrats enter the final three full months of the campaign season with key advantages in the Senate races that are crucial for the party to win back control of the upper chamber. Between July 25 and August 2, Data for Progress conducted a poll of likely voters in four states--Arizona, North Carolina, Maine, and Iowa--using both web-panels and text-to-web.
In all four races, Democratic Senate candidates lead their Republican opponents. Of note, Republican Senators are running behind President Donald Trump in three states, Arizona, North Carolina, and Iowa. Only in Maine is Republican Susan Collins outperforming Trump.
