Educators Are Fed Up And Voters Are On Their Side

A decade ago, corporate education reformers like Michelle Rhee and documentaries like “Waiting for Superman” dictated public perception of education. To hear education “reformers” tell it, the only things that could save failing schools was to tear the education system down and start over. Indeed, education reformers and their allies have positively hailed bringing a Silicon Valley ethos of “disruption” to the classroom. “Education reform” was a bipartisan consensus, with Democrats like Cory Booker vocally backing charter schools and corporate reform agendas.

But a progressive education agenda and rising support for public education has ridden the wave of education strikes, beginning in West Virginia and concluding most recently in a dramatic confrontation between the Chicago Teachers’ Union, SEIU Local 73, and ostensibly progressive Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot. 

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Why AOC Was Right About HQ2

While searching for a site to locate their second headquarters—dubbed “HQ2”—Amazon undertook a nationwide hunt for which city would hand them the biggest bag of money. States and municipalities created competing proposals for Amazon, with theatrics rivaling the Super Bowl Halftime Show. One location offering a hefty tax-incentive package was New York. Between state and local governments, Amazon was offered $3.5 billion in benefits, in exchange for both an agreement to create 25,000 jobs over ten years and $2.5 billion in development investment in a Long Island City campus. Some simple back-of-the-napkin math shows this incentive would equate to about a $140,000-per-job handout. 

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Here’s Where Congressional Candidates Stand On The Progressive Labor Agenda

Labor is back on the agenda.

With the 2020 election season heating up and labor strikes at the highest water mark since the 1980s, Presidential candidates are catering to labor unions—one of the Democratic Party’s most important organized backers—with unprecedented and sweeping plans for labor law reform. On top of that, they’re going directly to union voters to make the case for their candidacies, attending town halls run by SEIU, the Teamsters, UNITE HERE, and the AFT and NEA.

But how does that affect down ballot races?

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South Carolina Democrats Support The Progressive Agenda 

Data for Progress surveyed South Carolina Democrats (hereafter just Democrats) and we tested support for two progressive proposals, the expansion of the Supreme Court and the Green New Deal (GND). We found overwhelming support for both of these policies. 

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The Public Doesn’t Want to Means-Test Public Education

To means-test higher education, or not to means-test higher education, that is the question for many Democrats running for their party’s presidential nomination. Centrist Democrats such as Senator Amy Klobuchar and former Mayor of South Bend Pete Buttigieg have argued that their college-affordability plans will not benefit the children of billionaires, unlike the plans of Senators Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders. Colin McAullife points out in an earlier blog post, Klobuchar and Buttigieg’s argument is one that can be leveled against many universal programs, such as K–12 education. (In New York magazine, Eric Levitz expanded on the pitfalls of Buttigieg’s argument here.)    

Our intent with this blog post is to understand the attitudes around means-testing public programs. To do this, we polled something already universal—public K–12 education—in contrast to introducing a new, alternative program that would be means-tested. While real deficiencies exist in how the United States funds its public schools––namely, the reliance on local funding sources––we are not critiquing a real, existent proposal to means-test public K–12 education.

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Iowa Voters Support the Progressive Agenda

Data for Progress has surveyed likely Iowa Democratic presidential caucus-goers on their support of four progressive policy and process proposals: Medicare for All, the Green New Deal, court expansion, and ending the filibuster. We found clear support for all of them.

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Candidates and Medicare for All Messaging 

Medicare for all continues to be one of the most hotly debated topics of the Democratic primary cycle. Thus far, healthcare has received the most talking time of any singular issue during the debates. It is also one of the more contentious issues among the Democratic candidates and voters. The disagreements about Medicare for all are largely focused on cost and proposed sources of funding. 

Support for different versions of the Medicare for all bill and how it could be funded, however, have similar levels of support. In a November poll by Data for Progress, 5,881 registered voters surveyed between November 21st and December 3rd, respondents were randomly assigned to see either a head tax proposal, similar to Elizabeth Warren’s, or a payroll tax similar to Bernie Sanders’ idea. The payroll tax version was that “The policy would be paid for by increasing the payroll tax on earnings by 9 percentage points (half of which would be paid for by employers), an increase in income taxes on those earning more than $200,000 by 9 percentage points, and a 2% tax on accumulations of wealth worth more than $50 million” and the head tax proposal was that “The policy would be paid for by a 6 percent tax on the wealth of those with over $50 billion in assets and a tax on companies for each employee they hire.” There was no significant difference in support between the two versions of Medicare for all proposals that were tested and, in fact, they were almost equal at 51% support. Given the popularity of these proposals, are the attacks Trump and others are launching having any success among the American people? 

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Are Marvel Movies “Cinema”? Is Hollywood Making Too Many Sequels?

Martin Scorsese doesn’t think Marvel movies are “cinema.” Stop us if you’ve heard this one before. The discourse around Scorsese’s statements blew up so much that the famous director took to the New York Times op-ed page to defend himself, something usually only reserved for human-bedbug hybrids or people who enjoy household chores. Of course, Scorsese’s op-ed only stoked the discussion. At this point, it’s safe to say that when Martin Scorsese speaks, people listen. And argue. And tweet. And write strongly worded, poorly edited think pieces. And then argue some more. There were takes and takes of takes, including from Joss Whedon, a writer and director of multiple Marvel movies, who defended the films.

And so Data for Progress steps into the fire, long after it has cooled. (We have a few bigger issues on our mind.) While we don’t wish to argue the merits of Scorsese’s argument, we did want to see what people thought of it, regardless of how loudly some thought it.

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Data for Progress Year in Review 

Next year, we will see the most important election of our lifetimes, a crucial moment for the country and the climate. And we want Data for Progress to do even more than we did last year. That’s why we’re reaching out to our supporters to describe our plan and ask if you want to be part of our team.

Here’s what we’re prioritizing in 2020:

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Leave No American Uninsured

Americans are fine with the continued existence of health insurance companies, but they clearly want drastic reforms to healthcare

The question of what sort of healthcare plan each candidate supports has been at the forefront of the Democratic presidential primary. However, while Medicare for All has faced immense scrutiny, “public option” plans have faced very little. To see how a public option might stand up after facing attacks from the right, we tested a few possible messages for and against the public option. 

Our public-option battery focused on the potential consequences of healthcare reform. We wanted to know whether voters would support or oppose new healthcare reform (specifically a public option), and if it might have certain consequences.

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America's Workers Have It Even Worse Than They Think

When viewed in comparison to their peers in most other industrialized countries, workers in the United States have few workplace protections, especially on the federal level. In 2019 the International Trade Union Confederation - the largest global trade union federation - categorized the United States as displaying systematic violation of workers’ rights, alongside Uganda, Haiti and Serbia. Weak worker protections and rights, alongside the decline of organized labor, are among the main reasons for the sharp rise in income inequality in the United States over the last thirty years. 

A recent DFP survey found that voters are ready for new and strong protections for workers, and that voters believe workers need to be more involved in the decisions that affect them. The survey was in the field from November 20th to December 3rd on the Lucid platform, and weighted using gender, age, region, education, race, and the interaction of education and race to look like the overall population of registered voters. In total, the survey includes 5,881 registered voters.

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Mayor Pete Buttigieg’s 2010 Statewide Electoral Performance

Pete Buttigieg ran for Treasurer of State in Indiana in 2010 against Republican Richard Mourdock, best known for a disastrous 2012 Senate race where he made comments about rape and what “God intended.” Buttigieg lost the Treasurer race 62.5% to 37.5%, a margin of 24.9%, which represents a nadir for Democratic performances in the state. The other four statewide Democratic candidates in Indiana that year lost by margins between 14.6% to 21.3%. We have compiled the 51 Indiana statewide elections with a Democratic and Republican candidate since 1996 (the oldest year with a source for official election results online) and found that only one Democrat lost by more than Buttigieg did in 2010: David L. Johnson in 2000, the opponent of famously popular Richard Lugar for Senate. Of the 51 elections, Democrats won eight, and the median margin was a Republican win by 11.0%.

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