On Tuesday, March 10th, voters will head to the ballot box for Michigan’s presidential primary election. There are 125 delegates up for grabs, and both Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders have spent the days preceding the election trying to earn the support of Michigan’s Democratic voters.
Read MoreData for Progress conducted a poll of 329 likely ID voters from 03/07/2020 to 03/09/2020. Likely voters were identified from the voter file and weighted to a likely electorate. The survey was conducted via text-to-web. The margin of error is +/- 5.4
Data for Progress conducted a poll of 320 likely MI voters from 03/07/2020 to 03/09/2020. Likely voters were identified from the voter file and weighted to a likely electorate. The survey was conducted via text-to-web. The margin of error is +/- 5.4
Read MoreMarch marks the 127th consecutive month of economic expansion—the longest in United States history. But stability can’t last forever. Despite the S&P 500 reaching an all-time high in February, markets have plummeted, with both the S&P 500 and Dow falling double digits last week. Recession fears are mounting as coronavirus continues to spread rapidly across the US and around the world. While the Federal Reserve approved emergency measures last week, slashing rates by half a percentage point, it’s unlikely monetary policy can counteract the contraction of a global pandemic. Despite these measures, markets are cratering today, with global oil prices collapsing 30% and the 10-year Treasury yield reaching a new all-time low at .318%. Will a recession materialize? Nobody knows. After all, the stock market isn’t the real economy. But a recession will come, sooner or later.
As Democrats recalibrate after Super Tuesday, they need to do more to prepare for a potential economic downturn. And if Team Blue plans ahead, they might just turn the next recession into a generational opportunity. To do so, they must look beyond the financial gurus of yesteryear towards the grassroots activists who have already delivered a framework for the next fiscal stimulus: the Green New Deal.
Read MoreData for Progress conducted a poll of 348 likely MO voters from 03/04/2020 to 03/07/2020. Likely voters were identified from the voter file and weighted to a likely electorate. The survey was conducted via text-to-web and web panel, with 47% from text to web and 53% from panel data. The margin of error is +/- 5.3
Data for Progress conducted a poll of 340 likely MS voters from 03/04/2020 to 03/07/2020. Likely voters were identified from the voter file and weighted to a likely electorate. The survey was conducted via text-to-web and web panel, with 86% from text to web and 14% from panel data. The margin of error is +/- 5.1
Read MoreFrom 3/4 to 3/5, Data for Progress Data for Progress surveyed 374 likely voters in Washington via text to web. Likely voters were identified from the voter file and weighted to a likely electorate. Our margin of error is +/- 4.9.
Read MoreCoronavirus is now in the United States. There have now been 135 documented cases of the respiratory virus, according to The New York Times, in the United States across 16 states, with fears rising that we are heading towards a pandemic. Already we are seeing ways in which our count myriad ways that our current system could make the disease more deadly. As Stephanie Armour reported, “Lawmakers and federal officials, alarmed by the spread of the coronavirus, are moving to plug gaps in the U.S. health-care system that could worsen the epidemic by deterring people from getting tested, such as a lack of insurance and paid sick days, as well as the cost of medical care.”
Read MoreAt one point last year, Elizabeth Warren looked poised to become a frontrunner for the Democratic nomination. She was second in the national polling during much of the fall and was even leading polls in key states like Iowa and New Hampshire. But, by December, she had faded in the polls. She hasn’t finished higher than third in any state through Super Tuesday, including her home state of Massachusetts. At this point, Warren’s improbable path to victory involves a brokered convention, as her campaign acknowledged last week.
Why hasn’t she caught on?
Read MoreDemocratic voters overwhelmingly support legalization of marijuana at the federal level, giving legalization a green light. For ‘20, candidates should be prepared to blaze it.
As part of a recent survey of Democratic likely primary voters and caucus-goers (“Democratic voters” going forward), Data for Progress and YouGov Blue asked several items about marijuana legalization. One item simply asked about marijuana legalization at the federal level:
Would you [support or oppose] fully legalizing marijuana at the national level?
Read MoreIn most any imaginable scenario, the next Democratic president is going to face significant hurdles to implementing their agenda. While Data for Progress has found voters clearly support institutional reform to bring government action more closely in line with the will of the people, executive action will inevitably remain an important tool of the progressive agenda.
Fortunately, in many cases, voters support executive actions the frontrunner candidates are planning. Here, we focus on a new disclosure rule proposed by Senator Elizabeth Warren, which would require companies to disclose the environmental impact of their activities.
Read MoreSenator Bernie Sanders maintains a lead Texas and North Carolina, two states which are casting their ballot on Super Tuesday, March 3rd. Sanders leads by 9 points in Texas, which is particularly notable given the huge number of delegates at stake in the country’s second most populous state. Sanders’ margin in North Carolina is smaller at 2 points, but given that this was a state which he lost by fourteen points in 2016, this is still a results the Sanders camp would be happy with.
Read MoreLow-income communities and communities of color are disproportionately affected by pollution and climate change. The goal of a Green New Deal is to address the scope of the climate crisis while also focusing on the frontline communities which are affected by climate change, particularly communities of color.
Here, we focus on a sample of Democratic primary voters and on the implementation of the Green New Deal. Specifically, we ask likely Democratic primary voters and caucus-goers (“Democratic voters,” let’s call them) if they would support specifically targeting clean energy spending toward low-income communities. The proposal would require that 40 percent of spending on clean energy would be targeted towards these communities.
Read MoreAfter a string of disappointing finishes in the early contests of the race, Joe Biden maintains a double digit lead in South Carolina. Biden has maintained strong support from Black voters and also performs well among older, more moderate white voters. Despite receiving a bounce from his victory in Nevada, Sanders still lags well behind the former Vice President. Sanders’ strongest supporters, namely young voters, very liberal voters and hispanic voters are not able to put him over Biden in South Carolina.
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