Reports

Posts tagged State-level Polling

Memo: Super Tuesday and Medicare for All

On March 3rd Democrats across more than a dozen states will go to the polls in an event dubbed Super Tuesday. More than 1,300 delegates, or nearly one-third of the total, will be in play.

As part of Data for Progress’s polling this Democratic primary season, we have asked questions not only about the current state of the race but also about support for progressive policies among likely Democratic primary voters. Here, we present our results for support for Medicare for All in a host of Super Tuesday states. Specifically, we asked likely Democratic primary voters,

“Would you support or oppose replacing private health insurance with a single government plan for everyone, sometimes called a ‘Medicare for All’ plan?”

2020 Election, HealthcareSean McElweeMarch 3, 2020Healthcare, Elections, State-level Polling

Memo: Final Super Tuesday Polling

The three days between South Carolina and Super Tuesday have been perhaps the most eventful of the race. Billionaire Tom Steyer, Former Mayor Pete Buttigieg and Senator Amy Klobuchar each dropped out of the race, with the latter two throwing their support behind Joe Biden. These new polls show the state of the race before Super Tuesday. A tighter race with only two candidates poised for delegates nearly everywhere.

Sean McElweeMarch 3, 2020Elections, State-level Polling

Memo: Super Tuesday and the Green New Deal

On March 3rd Democrats across more than a dozen states will go to the polls in an event dubbed Super Tuesday. More than 1,300 delegates, or nearly one-third of the total, will be in play.

As part of Data for Progress’s polling this Democratic primary season we have asked questions not only about the current state of the race but also about support for progressive policies among primary voters. Here, we present our results for support for a Green New Deal (GND) in a host of Super Tuesday states.

Sean McElweeMarch 2, 2020Climate, Infrastructure, Elections, State-level Polling, Economy

Memo: Sanders Favored in Nevada

Tomorrow, Nevada will caucus. The Nevada caucuses have been undercovered by the media, but the state is the first test of how Democrats perform with Democrats of color. We find that Senator Bernie Sanders is poised for a strong victory, with Warren, Biden and Warren all lumped together. Sanders has 35 percent of the vote.

However, as with climate change, some politicians are stepping forward with proposals to change the “take, make, and dispose” model of our modern, so-called “linear economies,” with zero-waste “circular economies.” Last year, Ilhan Omar (D-MN) introduced the Zero Waste Act in the United States Congress and the European Commission adopted its ambitious Circular Economy Plan.

Sean McElweeFebruary 21, 2020State-level Polling, Elections

Memo: Sanders has Strong Lead in Nevada

Data for Progress conducted a poll of 766 likely Nevada caucusgoers from 2/12/2020 through 2/15/2020. Likely caucusgoers were identified from the Nevada voter file and weighted to a likely electorate. Our margin of error is +/- 3.4 percent.

2020 ElectionSean McElweeFebruary 17, 2020Elections, State-level Polling

Sanders With Narrow Lead In New Hampshire

The NH Primary is an extremely close race between Senator Bernie Sanders and former mayor Pete Buttigieg, with Sanders in the lead by 2 points (28 percent to 26 percent).

Former Vice-President Joe Biden continues to show signs of extreme weakness, coming in at fifth place with 9 percent of the vote, behind Senator Elizabeth Warren (14 percent) and Senator Amy Klobuchar (13 percent).

Guest UserFebruary 10, 2020State-level Polling, Elections, Healthcare, Climate

Sanders Poised For Victory In Iowa

Our poll shows a field in immense flux, but with Senator Bernie Sanders in the lead with 22 percent of the vote and Senator Elizabeth Warren in second with 19 percent of the vote. Former Vice President Joe Biden and Pete Buttigieg are tied in third with 18 percent of the vote. Senator Amy Klobuchar has 9 percent.

In a caucus, final delegate count is what really matters. After reallocation of delegates from candidates not clearing the viability threshold in each precinct, we estimate Sanders to have 28 percent of the vote, Warren to have 25 percent of the vote, Biden to have 24 percent of the vote and Buttigieg to have 22 percent of the vote.

Guest UserFebruary 2, 2020Elections, State-level Polling, Climate, Healthcare

Memo: Medicare for All in South Carolina

To understand how the issue of Medicare For All is viewed among South Carolina’s Democratic electorate, we fielded a survey of 767 likely voters in South Carolina’s Democratic presidential primary. The randomized survey was conducted from December 19 through December 29, 2019 for Medicare For All NOW. (For brevity, Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents will be referred to as Democrats throughout this memo.) As outlined below, the poll finds strong support for Medicare for All, among all demographic groups in the Democratic primary electorate.

Sean McElweeJanuary 29, 2020Healthcare, State-level Polling, Elections

Memo: Texas Senate

The Democratic primary election for the 2020 Senate nomination in Texas is in flux, with retired US Air Force Major MJ Hegar, labor organizer Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez, and state Senator Royce West in the strongest positions for a possible runoff election. Hegar leads the pack, with 18 percent of the vote, followed by Tzintzún Ramirez and West, who are tied at 13 percent.

2020 ElectionSean McElweeJanuary 29, 2020State-level Polling, Elections, Climate, Healthcare, Justice

Memo: New York Polling

Gov. Andrew Cuomo released his proposed $178 billion budget this week. With a Democratic trifecta in New York State, Cuomo has a strong mandate to expand the governmental services New Yorkers depend on. In order to determine what New Yorkers would like to see coming out of Albany, Data for Progress undertook a survey of 1,890 New York likely voters. The survey was conducted from January 13 through January 19, 2020, and measured support for various progressive policies and local, state, and federal candidates for office.

Sean McElweeJanuary 27, 2020State-level Polling, Taxes and Spending, Democracy, Economy

Memo: Primary Warning Signs for Chris Coons

Data for Progress conducted a poll from November 15 through 25, 2019, in the state of Delaware, to assess the upcoming Democratic primary race for Chris Coons’s Senate seat. Senator Coons has been serving as the Junior Senator from Delaware since 2010. The primary election in Delaware is separate from the state’s presidential primary, and will occur in September 2020. Despite Hillary Clinton winning Delaware by over 10 points, Senator Coons currently sits as the eleventh-most-likely Democrat to vote with the president, according to FiveThirtyEight’s tally of support for President Trump’s policies.

Sean McElweeDecember 10, 2019Elections, State-level Polling

Memo: Battleground 2020 Polling

President Donald Trump currently trails the three leading Democratic candidates in the 2020 U.S. presidential election, both nationally and within most of the key battleground states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Florida, Arizona, and North Carolina.

2020 ElectionSean McElweeNovember 5, 2019Elections, State-level Polling

Memo: NY-16 Poll Results

From 9/9-9/13, Data for Progress polled a sample of all registered Democrats via text-to-web across NY-16 using a commercial voter file. Data for Progress surveyed 578 registered Democratic in-district respondents. Respondents who said they were “definitely not” going to vote in the upcoming congressional primary were excluded. The following results use a propensity score weighting method that weights on a number of political and demographic characteristics. The margin of error is +/- 5.7% with a 95% confidence interval. These results should be looked at as the broadest interpretation of the electorate. There are 250,000 registered Democrats in the 16th, and only 30,000 of them voted in last year’s Congressional primary.

2020 ElectionSean McElweeOctober 20, 2019State-level Polling, Elections